But RAPTOR, introduced in 2019 , offers original insight from their data scientists. 10. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. 2023 MLB Predictions. It's a computer program. 5m. The Lakers emphasized young talent at the 2023 trade deadlineRAPTOR (FiveThirtyEight): +4. Things may have reached their Iversonian breaking point for Westbrook during a sequence late in L. com, Wikipedia. RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s player-rating system, has him as the 12th-best player in the NBA this season with 450 or more minutes played and sixth in producing wins (WAR) behind Steph Curry, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Nikola Jokić, John Collins (OK, that’s interesting) and Fred VanVleet (even more interesting). 123. com has a player ranking of the best in the league using RAPTOR. As part of a new series at HoopsHype, we are examining who should win the NBA MVP award based on what we can learn from advanced analytics. RAPTOR = FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR model, which uses play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and wins above replacement. To that end, our RAPTOR-based prediction model now gives the Kings a 49 percent chance of making the playoffs. 27. Created Jul 15, 2010. ago. RealGM ForumsCBSSports. Russell Westbrook is currently 7th worst in FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR WAR, at -1. md","path":"nba-raptor/README. com) +8. Notes. {"payload":{"allShortcutsEnabled":false,"fileTree":{"nba-raptor":{"items":[{"name":"README. 5 : Wins Above Replacement (FiveThirtyEight) Denver Nuggets 25. 3 wins above replacement, according to RAPTOR. And it’s no shock to see Lakers superstar Anthony Davis in RAPTOR’s top 10. Search. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. As of April 8, the Raptors have a 33 percent chance of making the 2023 NBA Playoffs, according to FiveThirtyEight's projections. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Online. 64%. All posts tagged “RAPTOR” Jan. 2k. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. But the advanced stats, as they have been wont to do with JokiÄÐ â ¡, paint a rosier picture: According to FiveThirtyEight’s NBA player ratings, JokiÄÐ â ¡ is second in offensive RAPTOR. He covers the NFL for CBS and the NBA elsewhere. How this works: This forecast is based on 50,000 simulations of the season and updates after every game. EXCLUSIVE: ABC News is hiring The Economist’s G. The top two teams qualify for next season’s UEFA Champions League. Best overall RAPTOR ratings in a full season since 1977 for players with at least 50 games played, fewer than 20 minutes per game and at least six fouls committed per 36 minutes — plus Mitchell. RAPTOR incorporates all of those and has a little additional colour that tends to tip scales in favour of on-ball. Filed under NBA. What is Raptor FiveThirtyEight? RAPTOR is an advanced metric introduced by FiveThirtyEight in 2019, and functions as a smart plus-minus statistic, which takes into account how a player’s team performs when he is both on and off the court. 2020 Shortlist RAPTOR Category: Innovation (small and large newsrooms) Country/area: United States Organisation: FiveThirtyEight Organisation size: Small Publication date: 10 Oct 2019 Credit: Nate Silver, Jay Boice, Ryan Best, Ella Koeze Project description: RAPTOR, which stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off. district-urbanization-index- 2022. modern_RAPTOR_by_player. Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight delivers analysis of politics from campaign fundraising to election day and beyond. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. Design and development by Allison McCann, Jay Boice and Aaron Bycoffe. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. To this end we created the fivethirtyeight R package of data and code behind the stories and interactives at the data journalism website FiveThirtyEight. Current Knicks Player Ratings per FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR. FiveThirtyEight. Be sure to follow us on Twitter and Facebook. 0 points per 100. +0. he's 7th in the league in RAPTOR but tied for 2nd in RAPTOR WAR; he's 8th in LEBRON but tied for 3rd in LEBRON Wins Added; and he's 24th in BPM but 15th in VORP. 7 true. Nov. (He didn’t play enough minutes to qualify for the RAPTOR leaderboard, but ended up pretty close to neutral, rather than a clear negative In the latter case, Curry outplaying projections by 7. An object of class tbl_df (inherits from tbl, data. Things were a little less smooth after that: New York went 37-21 to close out the regular season and was taken to seven. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Head over to the RAPTOR leaderboard and you’ll find that this is the first time in his career where Robinson ranks plus-2. RAPTOR is an advanced metric introduced by FiveThirtyEight in 2019, and functions as a smart plus-minus statistic, which takes into account how a player’s team performs when he is both on and off the court. Design and development by Jay Boice. Extra points if you can guess who we convinced to dress up in the raptor costume. That statistic takes on/off. 99. He reached 36. It's like WAR in baseball--all the players get a "wins above replacement" score. We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. It seems to me that FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and Elo algorithms are overly complicated for what they actually deliver: worse predictions than the most basic team metrics. Jun. 112. com: 4. . Statistical model by Nate Silver. As of April 8, the Raptors have a 33 percent chance of making the 2023 NBA Playoffs, according to FiveThirtyEight's projections. This is the first time all of these information sources have been combined publicly in a single metric. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is. FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR stat loves him, as does a simple contrast of the Raptors’ net rating with him on the floor (6. This dataset contains data behind the story Introducing RAPTOR, Our New Metric For The Modern NBA and the interactive The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR. 1 percent from deep in the NBA before going overseas. Utah has a slightly better projected point differential, while Phoenix. 0). Conclusions. 4 points per 100 possessions after Tuesday’s win) versus the stat when. UPDATED Jun. FiveThirtyEight’s ELO forecast currently projects the Jazz to end with the 6th best record in the NBA and to have the same odds at winning the Championship as the Golden State Warriors. 0. 107. -0. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. (8) (3) Open Box: from. Daniel Levitt is a former sports intern with FiveThirtyEight. 15, 2022. Interactives. 100% accurately with zero bias. Season. Nicklaus, Arnold Palmer, Gary Player, Lee Trevino and Tom Watson bit off whole chunks of the sport in the. This year will be no different, especially for the Most Valuable Player award. The motivation for creating this package is articulated in The fivethirtyeight R Package: “Tame Data” Principles for Introductory Statistics and Data Science Courses by Kim, Ismay, and Chunn (2018) published in Volume 11, Issue 1 of the journal “Technology Innovations in Statistics Education”. Rookie Collin Sexton has become more efficient in his shot selection since the All-Star break. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. +1. 7, 2022. Updated after every game. ’s Oct. Karl Malone, +14. According to RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s metric that uses play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and wins above replacement, Randle. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Leonard ranks seventh in estimated plus-minus, seventh in DARKO (a forward-projecting metric), fifth in FiveThirtyEight’s overall RAPTOR, 18th in BBall Index’s LEBRON, and 29th in ESPN’s. Season. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. com. md","path":"nba-raptor/README. New York last won a championship in 1972-73, having won another three. 1 : Milwaukee Bucks +5. The motivation for creating this package is articulated in The fivethirtyeight R Package: “Tame Data” Principles for Introductory Statistics and Data Science Courses by Kim, Ismay, and Chunn (2018) published in Volume 11, Issue 1 of the journal “Technology Innovations in Statistics Education”. Open-Box Reverend Charger RA. We’re pretty excited about it. RAPTOR is dead. 's overwhelming leader in postseason wins above replacement (the cumulative version of FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR, an adjusted plus-minus metric that incorporates box-score stats, play-by. 12. FiveThirtyEight’s 2019-20 NBA forecast model, code-named RAPTOR, gives the Heat a 73 percent chance of winning the Finals. fivethirtyeight. 66th Street New York, NY 10023. nba sports player basketball raptor. Jokić has been criticized for his struggles on defense in the past, but according to RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s model that incorporates player tracking data to approximate a player’s value. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. It’s not a perfect indication on its own, but there’s no evidence of a. . If Drummond keeps up this pace, he’ll become only the third player since the. 1. Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. The RAPTOR forecast theoretically does a better job of accounting for these changes, though it's learning by-the-game about the quality of our players. Who Won The First Republican Debate? By Holly Fuong, Aaron Bycoffe, Humera Lodhi and Nathaniel Rakich. $79. district-urbanization-index- 2022. Defensively. . 2017-18 NBA Predictions Based on “CARM-Elo,” a mix of team Elo ratings and our CARMELO player projections. +3. info. Be kind. He May Even Be Good. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. But that changes this year. The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR Our ratings, updated daily, use play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and wins. Check out our latest NBA predictions . The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, [538 1] was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling. Raptors NBA Playoff odds. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future. 17, 2020. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played. LeBron. Desmond Bane is the most impactful early career player, between years 1-4 (+2. A. The ratings were developed by FiveThirtyEight's Jay Boice, similar to the basic ratings for the NBA. Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green were traded to the Toronto Raptors for DeMar DeRozan, Jakob Poeltl and a draft pick. Boston had struggled offensively in its season opener, scoring only 91. 9. In the cases of EPM and RAPTOR, the figures also are by far the best of Gordon’s career to date. 3. Louis native’s overall RAPTOR and Wins Above Replacement (WAR). ? - Page 3 - RealGM. RAPTOR (FiveThirtyEight) Ratings ; Head-To-Head Matchup: There was one game between Jokic & Embiid (Jan 28, 2023). There is. The tendency for FiveThirtyEight to overweight home court advantage is clear here, as the y-intercept is negative for both algorithms. Although it seems like the 2019-20 NBA season just ended — the Los Angeles Lakers lifted the Larry O’Brien Trophy a scant. 9. This would require renouncing or losing multiple free agents. district-urbanization-index- 2022. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, [538 1] was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling. 538 Interactives. 모르긴 몰라도 Plus/Minus 마진에서 카펠라와 콜린스가 트레 영보다는. 193 vs. Members. Additional contributions by Neil Paine. Most valuable NBA single-season performances since 2013-14 according to FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR wins above replacement, including playoffs. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. hsmith711. Conclusions. info. 6 (13th) The Suns dominated opponents with Payne on the court last year. 1,021. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. Gamblers and sportsbooks, no doubt, also used the. 66th Street New York, NY 10023. Download this data. The love affair with the Boston Celtics continues at FiveThirtyEight as the data wizards at the site who projected the Celtics the most likely winner of the 2020 NBA Championship consider All-Star swingman Jayson Tatum the best postseason player in the league. The R-squared was slightly higher for RAPTOR (0. csv contains Elo Ratings for every team in WNBA history on a game-by-game basis. We crush competitor prices on Raptor RVs. The nine-time All-Star ranks 237th of 250 qualified players in FiveThirtyEight’s defensive RAPTOR this season. Interactives. Our RAPTOR-based forecast gives Chicago a 97 percent chance of advancing to the postseason, up from just 37 percent in the preseason model. En segundo lugar, y de manera. Mark Sobhani / NBAE via Getty Images. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Gamblers and sportsbooks, no doubt, also used the. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast. FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR stat loves him, as does a simple contrast of the Raptors’ net rating with him on the floor (6. Neil Paine was the acting sports editor at FiveThirtyEight. . (1) Open Box: $791. We’re pretty excited about it. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Which rookies would go higher, and which ones would go lower? Surprises up and down the lotteryFor more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. Although it is pretty shocking, he is above players such as Steph Curry, Luka Doncic, Paul George, and Giannis. 1,735. Live updating forecasts and dashboards. 135. 1,416. Gamblers and sportsbooks, no doubt, also used the. 2026. Updated after every game. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. 5 percent in his. -4. Sportswriter, hockey and NASCAR podcaster, former FiveThirtyEight sports editor. 0. Source When the 2022-23 NBA season begins next week, our RAPTOR prediction model sees a league with a field of title contenders more wide-open. Despite his scoring output and efficiency, FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR metric rates Thompson as the 29th-most-effective player in the playoffs among the 30 who have played at least 400 minutes. 2 dataframes about Raptor players and teams by era. Their main introduction article does a good. It's exactly accurate. . Which rookies would go higher, and which ones would go lower? Surprises up and down the lotteryDefensive statistics can always be a little murky, but Mitchell ranks among the league's worst defensive guards in both RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight's all-encompassing advanced statistic, and D-LEBRON. RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic, stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings. 0 Inspired by a recent post which shows Jayson Tatum in the top 5 WAR players (those whose production generate wins for their team when compared to the production of an average NBA player), I decided to look at the worst. FiveThirtyEight 47 W. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. md","contentType":"file"},{"name":"historical. Toronto has slightly lower odds on. Forecast from. June 30, 2023 6:00 AM No Labels Is Chasing A FantasyWe would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. Lakers 4-1. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Payton might be the purest ball. Current status. Makes total sense. 6 assists and 1. The Raptors are merely 55 percent favorites in the series, at least based on our current understanding (as of early Wednesday morning) of the injury prognosis for Durant and Cousins. Hope this helps!ESPN. According to FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR, another advanced metric that aims to encapsulate a player’s holistic impact, Jokic is 0. With an overall RAPTOR of -2. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. 66%. space flight simulator download. As of April 8, the Raptors have a 33 percent chance of making the 2023 NBA Playoffs, according to FiveThirtyEight's projections. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is the. That rival would be the. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is the highest possible degree of similarity. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. Most RAPTOR WAR by NBA rookies, 2019-20 regular season* Player Team Games Team WPCT Raptor WAR; Terence Davis: TOR: 57. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Analytical but narrative -- blending the past and future of sportswriting. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society. Forecast from. 8, 2018 at 11:36 PM 2017-18 NBA Predictions 5. 在数据世界里，或许最家喻户晓的名字就是内特•西尔弗(Nate Silver)，他的FiveThirtyEigh有一个被广泛引用的全能篮球指标:RAPTOR。 FiveThirtyEight之前的篮球指标(Elo和cam -Elo)依赖于BPM和RPM进行计算。但2019年推出的RAPTOR提供了数据科学家. 2. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. 1, 2023. Jeff Hornacek, +10. 32%. $36. In the video above, we break down what’s made the Raptors’ reserves so good. 803. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic, stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings. Our traditional model uses Elo ratings (a measure of strength based on head-to-head results and quality of opponent) to calculate teams’ chances of winning their regular-season games and advancing to and. “The general idea is that the FiveThirtyEight NBA model is based on player ratings, using a system called RAPTOR,” FiveThirtyEight Sports editor Sara Ziegler told Cronkite News. 1,021. 10, 2022. (1) Open Box: $351. Season. CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. 2 : Miami Heat 13. Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances. Led by Willis Reed, Walt Frazier and Dave DeBusschere, the Knicks were 23-1 through Nov. RAPTOR is a plus-minus based stat. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. +3. {"payload":{"allShortcutsEnabled":false,"fileTree":{"nba-raptor":{"items":[{"name":"README. How could player moves reshuffle the NBA’s tiers? Projected records and playoff odds, based on RAPTOR player ratings and expected minutes, will update when a roster is adjusted. +1. As part of a new series at HoopsHype, we are examining who should win the NBA MVP award based on what we can learn from advanced analytics. He's averaging an NBA-high 2. 3 per game all the way back in 1993-94. For example, he was considered the 11 th-best defensive forward by FiveThirtyEight’s Defensive RAPTOR statistic. By Jay Boice. +1. Nov. Preseason predicted standings for the NBA’s 2021-22 Eastern Conference, according to FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR-based forecast Teams finishing in seventh. Achiuwa ranked 11th among power forwards in D-RAPTOR — FiveThirtyEight’s catch-all defensive metric — behind some of the best defenders in the game: Draymond Green, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Al. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. The slope is about right for. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory. $11. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Rookie Mark Williams, amazingly, has the fourth-highest defensive RAPTOR rating by FiveThirtyEight at plus-4. RAPTOR really loves the defense of Brook Lopez, who should be healthy again after missing all but 13 games last regular season. 2 — and presumably has a number of good years left in the tank, especially if he plays into. 9. 0). 6 percent from three in two games with the Shanxi Loongs. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here . Comment. According to Raptor FiveThirtyEight states that Fred Vanvleet is currently ranked 3rd for Wins Above Replacement. Jun. $22. wiggins the all star. nba-raptor . Quentin Grimes and Derrick Rose have been the best players on the team on a per minute basis, which most of the sub would agree with. The website,. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. 2028. At SLC Dunk, The Downbeat is the first story of the weekday. Header Description : Rank : Rank by median earnings : Major_code : Major code, FO1DP in ACS PUMS : Major : Major description For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. 8, 2022. The total RAPTOR rating measures an individual player’s point value to his team per 100 possessions. Wednesday brought. md","path":"nba-raptor/README. Brackets originally published March 13. CLEVELAND — It was less than a month into the season when a fairly harsh criticism found its way into the local media: Cavs’ veterans were quoted anonymously b…Nate [email protected] votes, 18 comments. RAPTOR comparison for the best seven seasons (by WAR) of the careers of LeBron James and Michael Jordan Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory. The motivation for creating this package is articulated in The fivethirtyeight R Package: “Tame Data” Principles for Introductory Statistics and Data Science Courses by Kim, Ismay, and Chunn (2018) published in Volume 11, Issue 1 of the journal “Technology Innovations in Statistics Education”. For the second consecutive season, the Brooklyn Nets made a league-shaking deal at the NBA trade deadline. Nikola Jokic is the most impactful mid-career player, between years 5-9 (+3. Summary. 0. “And he found a way not only to become a great defensive player, but. ELO - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. 182), suggesting RAPTOR is slightly more prognostic. I suspect their models are badly overfit. player_name,player_id,season,poss,mp,raptor_box_offense,raptor_box_defense,raptor_box_total,raptor_onoff_offense,raptor_onoff_defense,raptor_onoff_total,raptor. Bucks 3-2. Most nights, Porziņģis isn’t facing a. January 25, 2023 6:00 AM Yes, 2023 Is An Election Year. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. md","path":"nba-raptor/README. 23 game against the Portland Trail Blazers. Nate Silver, t…RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic, stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings. Fix newlines in all csvs. It's only four games, but so far Caris LeVert has been the best defensive player on the Cavs based on FiveThirtyEight's advanced stats, and good enough for #5 overall in the league. That ranks just 388th in the league out of 410 players. 8 points above average on defense, ranking in the 65th percentile. Nov. I did go through the top 100 in RAPTOR WAR from last year, plus an article listing 24 "rising stars" (to cover those projected to break out), so I should've gotten at least most of them. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. 1,021. 64%. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA player projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history to determine what a current NBA player’s future might look like. Lakers 4-1.